The conviction list is not yet published
No long-term pick is published until a complete, current fundamental review clears the conviction threshold.
Long-term picks
Conviction built from filings—not a moving stock price.
Only companies that clear a high fundamental-quality threshold enter the one-to-five-year list, and only while the thesis and price paid remain attractive.
SelectiveMaximum published
1–5 yearsExpected horizon
60+Minimum confidence
Daily changesResearch cadence
Review the rules
Publication gate
What must be true before a setup appears
Financial quality
Revenue, earnings, free cash flow, margins, returns on capital, debt, dilution, and balance-sheet resilience.
Competitive durability
Industry structure, customer concentration, management execution, product risk, and defensible advantages.
Valuation matters
Confidence does not rise merely because the stock rose. Price paid is compared with expected growth and risk.
Primary filings
SEC EDGAR filings and company investor-relations releases anchor the evidence record.
Daily change detection
Filings, guidance, management, M&A, regulation, lawsuits, ratings, dilution, debt, and disruption are monitored.
Visible thesis breaks
Confidence increases, reductions, reviews, and removals carry dated explanations and remain public.